Exit Polls Show RJD Ahead in Bihar, NDA Struggles to Keep Pace

As Bihar gears up for the election results, the exit polls are creating major buzz. According to the latest reports, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) may emerge as the largest party in the state. The numbers suggest a strong comeback for Tejashwi Yadav, while the ruling NDA alliance is facing stiff competition. Let’s look at how different parties are projected to perform in the Bihar assembly elections.

RJD’s Strong Comeback in Exit Polls

According to various exit poll agencies, RJD is likely to take the lead in the Bihar elections. The party is expected to win around 90–100 seats, showing a strong wave of support among young and rural voters. Tejashwi Yadav’s campaign focusing on employment and development issues has struck a chord with the electorate, especially in the southern and central parts of the state.

NDA’s Position in the Exit Polls

The NDA, led by Nitish Kumar and the BJP, seems to be trailing slightly behind RJD according to early projections. The alliance could secure around 75–85 seats. While BJP’s vote share remains solid, the JD(U) appears to have lost some ground due to anti-incumbency. Despite this, the NDA still has a significant presence and could remain a major player in government formation.

Congress and Left Parties’ Expected Performance

The Congress, which is part of the Mahagathbandhan along with RJD, is likely to win around 20–25 seats. The Left parties, including CPI and CPI(ML), are expected to add a few more, taking the combined opposition tally to a competitive level. Their focus on farmers, labor issues, and education reforms has helped consolidate a portion of the rural vote bank.

Smaller Parties and Independents’ Role

Smaller regional parties like AIMIM, HAM, and VIP may play a key role in case of a hung assembly. AIMIM could retain influence in certain Muslim-dominated constituencies, while HAM led by Jitan Ram Manjhi might pick up a few seats in the Gaya region. Independent candidates could also make a difference if the final results remain close.

Voter Turnout and Election Trends

The overall voter turnout in Bihar remained strong this year, crossing 57%. Women voters participated actively, reflecting a changing trend in Bihar politics. Many analysts believe that this higher turnout could favor the opposition, as it indicates a demand for change and fresh leadership.

Public Sentiment During Campaign

Throughout the campaign, employment, inflation, and local development remained major issues. Tejashwi Yadav’s “Naukri Yojana” promise gained traction, while Nitish Kumar emphasized stability and governance. The BJP campaigned strongly on central welfare schemes, but the local dissatisfaction might have influenced the results.

What Lies Ahead for Bihar Politics

If the exit polls prove accurate, RJD could be in a commanding position to form the next government. However, a close contest means that alliances and independents will play a decisive role in the final outcome. All eyes are now set on the official counting day to see how the numbers unfold.

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